Stop Global Warming

State your case on #ACES: Climate Pass or Climate Fail?

Published June 26, 2009 @ 08:51AM PT

Total solar eclipse, 1991Okay kids, get your ya-yas out: What's your opinion of the clean energy and climate change bill that's being debated in the House today?

Should it pass, or will it do more harm than good in stopping global warming? Will its' cap-and-trade provisions curb greenhouse gas emissions effectively, or have concessions to fossil energy and agriculture industry interests fatally weakened the legislation?

Note: As ever, courtesy toward fellow commenters is strongly encouraged. References to Nazis, or denials of the reality of global warming, will be deleted as troll posts.

-----

Image: View of the Sun from Baja California, during an eclipse on July 11, 1991. Source: NASA Earth Observatory

Share this Post

Related Posts

Comments (71)

  1. Craig Nazor

    The Waxman-Markey bill has been amended to the point that I believe it will do more harm than good to the status quo. This is mainly because its CO2 targets are too low and at the same time it takes the EPA (our one science-based governmental regulatory department) out of the loop. It takes regulation out of the hands of scientists and puts it in the hands of politicians and corporations. In addition to that, it hands out billions of dollars the the dirty energy corporations, and doesn't do enough for energy conservation, clean energy research, and leveling the free-market playing field for clean technologies.

    I would really like to hear someone try to convince me that I am wrong. I fear that the carbon polluters have won the day by spending hundreds of millions of dollars to buy votes to circumvent the best science and the best interests of the people of America and of the world.

    Is there anything in this bill that is a step forward?

    Round one, it seems, goes to the billionaires. America, please wake up!

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/26/2009 @ 11:15AM PT

  2. Reply to thread
  3. James Atkins

    If this is truly a HUGE issue and the world will surely come to an end as we know it then I would think people would literally be rioting in the streets to stop global warming.

    Check my last post: Follow the money... Just look at this organization. Where does the funding for this come from? Who pays the salaries, the benefits, the expenses. I assume donations or grant monies right. 10 Years ago a site like this would be belly up after a few months due to a lack of funding. Maybe I can start a non profit that is ANTI Global warming and get private donations and federal monies for my ideas on the issue: Ooooops... I forgot- you can't get funding for real issues only political agendas. Wow - what a weird world when the MINORITY rules.

     

     

    Posted by James Atkins on 06/26/2009 @ 12:01PM PT

  4. Emily Gertz

    Judging by the evidence, people have done very, very well for themselves financially, by forming non-profits devoted to sowing doubt about global warming.

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/26/2009 @ 12:31PM PT

  5. Craig Nazor

    Wow - debunking global warming IS a political agenda. It is definitely not based in peer-reviewed science. And as Emily has stated, it is already a multi-billion dollar business. Good luck with your business plan!

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/26/2009 @ 05:12PM PT

  6. Debunking global warming science (if you can call it science) is a legitimate scientific endeavor. If you know anything about science you would know even established theories are checked and verifyed or debunked all the time. Saying that debate fo global-warming/climate-change is over is the mark of a dictator or tyrant not science. It's like pushing science back to the time of the middle ages.

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/26/2009 @ 05:59PM PT

  7. Craig Nazor

    "Debunking" global warming science is attempted all the time. But so far, the number of peer-reviewed, published scientific articles that state that global warming is not happening or that state that global warming is happening but is NOT primarily the result of human activity are zero. None. Zip.

    Established scientific theories are not "debunked all the time." Saying that a debate is over may simply be the truth. And, at this point, denying global warming is most definitely "like pushing science back to the time of the middle ages."

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/26/2009 @ 10:48PM PT

  8. Reply to thread
  9. James Atkins

    By the way - I am a firm believer in cleaning up our act and producing cleaner fuels. I love my earth and want to see her healthy. I simply want to stop relying on government intervention, minority reports and polls, liberal and biased media, and most of all middle eastern and south american dependency on products we DO NOT HAVE TO HAVE. Nothing wrong with getting rich but there is something wrong with getting rich by playing off the publics stupidity.

    Posted by James Atkins on 06/26/2009 @ 12:05PM PT

  10. Craig Nazor

    "Getting rich by playing off the publics stupidity," aside from being one of the historically legitimate tenants of American capitalism ("Let the buyer beware"), is EXACTLY what the dirty energy companies have been doing for years, with, up until recently, support of the Federal government.

    I would like to rely on peer-reviewed science to direct what we do from this point onward. 

    By the way - Austin, Texas, my home town, is in an extended drought, and the temperature was officially 107º F. yesterday, a record. The previous record was 102º F. The average high temperature for this time a year is 92º F.

    Austin is also about to go over the ozone limit, which will cause EPA-mandated changes to what the city has to do (which will cost money), not because Austin produces that much pollution (we don't), but because the state approved new dirty coal power plants 100 miles away whose pollutants head straight to Austin.

    Only the Federal Government can help control this mess. There simply is no other entity powerful enough to do it.

    I don't want political ideology. I want action.

     

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/26/2009 @ 05:28PM PT

  11. Reply to thread
  12. Emily Gertz

    Change.org is a social entrepreneurship venture based in San Francisco, CA. The company was founded by Ben Rattray in the summer of 2005, and with the support of a friend from Stanford, Mark Dimas, and a founding team of Darren Haas, Rajiv Gupta, and Adam Cheyer, Change.org launched the first version of its site in 2007.

    http://www.change.org/info/about/

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/26/2009 @ 12:28PM PT

  13. Brooks Nelson

    I think this bill, as is, will not be effective in reducing global warming in a significant way.  Now that being said 'if' the cap and trade portion actually works as desired without price fluctuations and future release valves, if the costs to the economy don't cause a future congress to curb reductions, if the offsets are actually policed for legitimate carbon reductions, if the reductions are actually increased in future legislation to bring them inline with actual needed projections, if if if then maybe its a good start.  

    One the political front, the question is, do we need this questionably effective bill to pass right now?  Honestly who can say if it is or not.  On the pass it now side is Obama's political momentum in a non election year that can push through 'something' now.  'Something' that can be tweaked and made stronger later.  'Something' that puts, 'we've taken action on this and the world isn't collapsing now let's do more' as a legislative success to add to.  Also this is the house's first round and the senate and conference committe still need to address it, which 'could' big 'could' strengthen the bill's weaknesses.

    Now on the flip side, this 'something' could leave the enemies to call it bad for the economy and ineffective for the environment and reasonably have a case to make.  Instead of waiting for Obama and sounder minds to put together a better plan, hopefully early in the campaign that campaign year.  (A full auction, no allowance, rigorous offset C&T bill or preferably a carbon tax.)   If this bill is tabled now in the House with pressure to get it right or get something much better then what it is now there's no 'loss' if the final votes fail to pass it.  Alot of political capital could be wasted if both chamber pass and this 'bad' bill starts to stink so bad that both sides start to pull away from it.  Also next year the economy is likely to be in a little better shape and won't be as much of a factor.  Plus all the ifs for fixing the bill from above might not happen.  Which leaves us with a relatively weak response to a very big crisis.

    I lean toward a politically savy tabling of this legislation until a better bill is worked out.  And we and all the environmental groups need to get on the exact same page pushing the exact same legislation and fixes that will address climate change without damaging the economy and becoming politically infeasible.  My vote is to mandate energy efficiencies economy wide (housing, power, business, consumer goods, agriculture, etc.) and add a low carbon tax to be raised every year with every dollar back to the tax payers (payroll).  It will raise the price of carbon every year, it will be less disruptive to the economy, it won't be a tax increase, it has no 'market' to be gamed with allowances and price fluctuations, and it will be a predictable cost to businesses. 

    Posted by Brooks Nelson on 06/26/2009 @ 01:00PM PT

  14. Emily Gertz

    Getting all the green groups onto the same page vis legislation will be a herculean task.  The sector's fractured over ACES, from what I've observed.  

    That's not unusual, though.  There's an activist ecology: Groups like Greenpeace push the toughest line.  It's often impossible to achieve politically but helps to raise the bar on what's possible.

    That makes it easier for more middle-of-the-road groups to push for provisions that politicians would consider unthinkable, if not for the really impossible things other groups were asking for. 

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/28/2009 @ 08:46AM PT

  15. Reply to thread
  16. Brooks Nelson

    Good lord, I wish I could edit that mess I made above.  My apologies for being a bad proofreader.

    Posted by Brooks Nelson on 06/26/2009 @ 01:04PM PT

  17. If people are serious about eliminating carbon dioxide emmissions from fossil fuels then they would promote and advocate nuclear power production. As it is, most people and politicians are negligent in learning the facts about nuclear power and only care to listen to the propaganda by the Amory Lovins clique, which are backed by fossil fuel interests.

    Wether you believe global-warming/climate-change is real as stated and overstated, you have to admit the cleanest most efficient cheapest energy source is nuclear energy and LiFTR nuclear plants are the cleanest of the nuclear plants with almost no radioactive waste compared to conventional nuclear plants.

    This cap-n-trade bill is a gift to special interest groups that will make those well connected richer and destroy what's left of manufacturing in the US.

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/26/2009 @ 05:55PM PT

  18. Emily Gertz

    Konstantin, how would a bill like this destroy manufacturing in the US?  

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/28/2009 @ 08:48AM PT

  19. It makes manufacturing financially too expensive in the US. Not only that but I believe that special interests have bribed or used other means to give them an advantage in this bill and as a result the bill won't accomplish what it intended (or pretended) goal is.When i sthe last time you can trust government toprovide an honest bill thatthat won't penalize the average working person? If the last year is anything to go by just see the difference in what the federal government and the Federal Reserve have done: $14 triilion for the banks vs. $1 triilion for Main st.

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/28/2009 @ 01:11PM PT

  20. Emily Gertz

    Based on how it reads to me, the bill would accomplish a lot on expanding clean energy research, development, and adoption, and energy efficiency.  Both would bring on a surge in both manufacturing jobs and consumer-facing jobs.

    [strikethrough]But certainly fossil energy and utility interests made pretty fine hash of setting ambitious greenhouse gas reduction targets.[/strikethrough]

    Correction: special interests made a hash of the pollution credit auction v. allocation provisions.  Sorry for the error. 

     

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/28/2009 @ 01:49PM PT

  21. Reply to thread
  22. Craig Nazor

    When the ENTIRE carbon footprint of nuclear energy is measured, from the mining and refining process through the decommissioning and disposal process, including the effects of the massive amounts of water that it takes to cool these facilities, it still doesn't add up to a net savings in CO2 emissions. Why do you think that more scientists aren't jumping onto that bandwagon? The "Amory Lovins clique" doesn't explain it. Maybe someday our nuclear technology will reach the point where it provides a net savings of CO2 over carbon-based energy, but not yet.

    I agree that the current bill just passed by the House does give too much to special interests. But a good global warming bill (the current bill is NOT a good bill, in my opinion) will NOT "destroy what's left of manufacturing in the US." It will position us to be a leader in the technologies of the future, however, and save us a bundle on energy costs.

    Our history shows that the well-connected almost always find a way to get richer. Why else would anybody put all the necessary effort into being "well-connected?" It's called free-market capitalism. 

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/26/2009 @ 11:16PM PT

  23. Craig if you have any figures and charts to back up that CO2 claim please post them. You do realize that a nuclear power plant is designed to last at least 60 to 70 years right? Do those figures take that into account?

    The nuclear plants I'm talking about are LiFTR. That stands for Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor. They consume almost all the nuclear fuel and produce very very little waste that has to be stored for a short time not like conventional nuclear reactors at all.

    Here are some links where you can learn what they are:

    http://nextbigfuture.com/2009/02/aim-high-plan-for-factory-mass-produced.html

    http://thoriumenergy.blogspot.com

    By the way, here is an interesting site that tells you the current level of CO2

    http://co2now.org

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/27/2009 @ 10:34AM PT

  24. Brooks Nelson

    The problem I have with nuclear power is that it is not economically viable to build a new reactor at this time.  If the price of carbon gets high enough, which eventually it should, then I'm sure more reactors will come on line.  But the licensing has been streamlined and there are large subsidies already in existence for the industry and yet still the markets do not put there money on nuclear power plants.  There are many reasons why but regardless they are not economically viable at this time.

    On your LiFTR power plant there are no commercial scale LiFTR power plants online in the world at this time, only small experimental scale projects.  I'm all for going after every avenue for reducing GHG emissions and I think nuclear will be viable soon and new research can create oppurtunities.  But the markets have spoken on this and right now nuclear cost overruns are huge and not many wish to bet on that with their money at this time.

    I don't know about the carbon footprint of nuclear vs. solar or wind or other alternatives I would guess that vs. any fossil fuel that nuclear is far far better on total carbon footprint. 

     

    Posted by Brooks Nelson on 06/27/2009 @ 05:48PM PT

  25. Craig Nazor

    Konstantin,

    It is up to the proponents of nuclear energy to do the kind of cradle-to-grave carbon footprint I am talking about, and so far this has not been completed for any form of nuclear energy. Why not? Because the size of the footprint adds up so quickly that it is immediately apparent that the figures are not yet going to justify nuclear energy.

    Some (but not all) of these figures include:

    The carbon footprint of the mining process and the transportation of the raw ore to the site for fuel refinement. So far, almost all of the energy required for these activities comes from fossil fuel-powered technology.

    The carbon footprint of the construction of the facilities required, including the reactor. These facilities require large amounts of cement, the manufacture of which in itself produces huge amounts of CO2.

    The carbon footprint of the final disposal and/or the safe retirement of the entire industrial infrastructure.

    Secondary carbon costs include:

    The proper disposal of uranium mine tailings, which will leach low levels of radioactivity into the environment for centuries if not properly contained, if "proper" containment is even possible (I refer you to our currently woefully inadequate containment of coal ash).

    The proper disposal of refuse from the fuel refining process, which is also radioactive.

    Another significant concern is the tremendous amounts of water (some of which becomes contaminated) required to cool the reactor over the lifetime of the facility. Dumping the heated water from nuclear reactors into the environment has already caused significant environmental damage to American streams, rivers, and lakes.

    I again point out that it is the job of the PROPONENTS of nuclear energy to provide the research that would indicate that nuclear power is safe, clean, and environmentally sound. It is not the responsibility of those who are understandably leery of such technology.

    When I was a kid, I remember hearing, from the well-known, government employed nuclear scientists, Lewis L. Strauss, then Chairman of the Atomic Energy Commission, that nuclear power was going to make electricity "too cheap to meter."

    That was premature, to say the least. And it was NOT peer-reviewed science, it was opinion. But since it came from ONE well-known scientist, many considered it "science."

    I am not willing to support nuclear energy until good, peer-reviewed science indicates that the carbon footprint is better than other available technologies and that the other significant environmental impacts of nuclear energy are adequately addressed.

     

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/27/2009 @ 06:21PM PT

  26. Craig you wrote "I again point out that it is the job of the PROPONENTS of nuclear energy to provide the research that would indicate that nuclear power is safe, clean, and environmentally sound. It is not the responsibility of those who are understandably leery of such technology."

    They already have over and over again many times. The information is there if you care to look. I haven't bothered to look up carbon footprints though cause I assume it's too low during the lifetime of the plant to consider.

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/27/2009 @ 07:39PM PT

  27. Craig Nazor

    If a total carbon footprint for nuclear energy has been done "over and over again many times," it sure is controversial. For an interesting discussion, read:

    http://wiki.answers.com/Q/What_is_the_carbon_footprint_of_nuclear_energy

    Make sure to read past the first paragraph.

    Here is a good, relatively unbiased report of a study:

    http://www.nature.com/climate/2008/0810/full/climate.2008.99.html

    It still doesn't address concerns about water and cooling issues. Please notice that solar and wind come out ahead of nuclear.

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/28/2009 @ 01:43AM PT

  28. Emily Gertz

    Nuclear's carbon footprint is really large in the construction stage.  It falls off considerably in terms of energy generation, of course.  Then the question becomes whether carbon footprint calculations alone are enough to justify the unsolved problems with fuel decommissioning and storage.

    When I interviewed the former head of Greenpeace UK recently, for Grist, his answer was an unequivocal "yes" -- in his mind it's the lesser of two evils.  

     

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/28/2009 @ 08:57AM PT

  29. Emily you seem to be of a mindset that nuclear power is evil. You seem to be judging science based on emotions. I think it's a bad idea to personify technology and science. People are responsible for how they use technology not science. You can say the same thing about almost all technology.

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/28/2009 @ 01:16PM PT

  30. Emily Gertz

    Konstantin, of all the things you could allege about me, or my work, stating that I am "of a mindset that nuclear power is evil" is one of the most demonstrably false.  

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/28/2009 @ 01:39PM PT

  31. Sorry. I assumed you agreed with the quote you posted from the former  head of Greenpeace.

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/28/2009 @ 02:00PM PT

  32. Emily Gertz

    He's supporting expansion of nuclear power to help slash CO2 emissions. So I still don't get the point.

    Experts in the field tell me there's no solution for nuclear waste on the immediate horizon - two to four decades out.   The technology you're advocating is really interesting, and maybe it's one of the things people are thinking about when they talk with me about long-term progress in the nuclear fuel cycle, but it's not yet proven beyond an experimental stage.  

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/29/2009 @ 07:31AM PT

  33. Brooks Nelson

    I assume you mean 'no political solution for nuclear waste on the immediate horizon'.  From my understanding dry storage on site of current nuclear plants will work fine for the short term and dry storage for the long term will work as well.  On the very long term, I don't see the point in burying and sealing nuclear waste that could have a better solution in the next 100 years.

    Posted by Brooks Nelson on 06/29/2009 @ 10:10AM PT

  34. Emily I don't know who you talked to and I'm not a nuclear expert but saying "long-term progress in the nuclear fuel cycle ... but it's not yet proven beyond an experimental stage" is like saying 2+2=4 but it's not yet proven beyond the experimental stage.

    What I mean by that is just like you know 2+2=4 from the laws of mathematics you know that these LiFTR and IFR nuclear plants can cleanly burn our nuclear waste (which is not really waste as it has alot of useful energy left in it) from the laws of physics  and make electricity in the process.

     

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/29/2009 @ 12:53PM PT

  35. Emily Gertz

    Konstantin, I talked to a physicist who is on the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology.  Around two weeks ago.

    And scale is not irrelevant in many things, including nuclear physics.

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/29/2009 @ 03:00PM PT

  36. Emily Gertz

    Brook, I actually meant disposal solution, but I can see how what I wrote lacked clarity.  

    From what I've been told, yes, the on site storage is working well enough for now.  I was thinking of the overall, long term problem of creating and needing to store more radioactive waste.

    I wouldn't place a bet on which aspect of that gets solved first: the politics or the physics.  ;) 

     

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/29/2009 @ 03:05PM PT

  37. Emily if you "talked to a physicist who is on the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology" I suggest you get an "unbiased" opinion and talk to another nuclear physicist. The administration is heavily influenced by Amory Lovins and his Rocky Mountain Institute and his erroneous "negawatts" ideas. Some scientists have said that they believe Amory Lovins is working for the fossil fuels industry interests and I think they're right.

    Maybe you can do an interview with some of the scientists at the "Energy from Thorium" website:

    http://thoriumenergy.blogspot.com

    Regarding your reply to Brooks, the waste problem HAS been solved. If I could emphasize "HAS been solved" more I would.

    Do yourself a favor and talk to an unbiased source not in the administration or connected to the administration.

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/29/2009 @ 04:46PM PT

  38. Emily Gertz

    Wha?... Shirley Ann Jackson supports nuclear power. She's a particle physicist!  She ran the Nuclear Regulatory Commission under Pres. Clinton, and now heads a major technology university.  If she says there's no option for spent nuke fuel but storage, for the forseeable future, it probably ought to be taken pretty seriously.  

    Read about my interview here:

    http://globalwarming.change.org/blog/view/the_nuclear_alternative_to_coal

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/29/2009 @ 05:38PM PT

  39. She is repeating the positions of the administration. If you do research the subject on spent fuel you could easily see that the opposite of what she told you is true. Other countries are reprocessing fuel for their conventional nuclear reactors. And just because she is a nuclear physicist doesn't mean she is familiar with breeder reactors like the LiFTR or IFRs. These LIFTR reactors were developed since almost the beginning but the military industrial complex wanted plutonium for their nuclear weapons so what we're stuck with today is conventional nuclear reactors not the clean efficient LiFTRs or IFRs.

    If you want to get to the truth you're going to have to look at unbiased sources not the administration or political appointees, past or present. Talk to nuclear scientists. A good starting point is that site I mentioned.

    Let me say this simply so there's no misunderstanding. Shirley Ann Jackson is wrong. She is either misinformed or being disingenuous. Did you read Dr. James hanson's paper to President Obama about these generation IV reactors? (based on a conference he had with nuclear scientists.

    Here is the letter from his website at Columbia University:

    http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/20081121_Obama.pdf

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/29/2009 @ 06:14PM PT

  40. Brooks Nelson

    Konstantin,

    You are assuming were we all standing against nuclear.  You've said that me, Emily, Shirley Ann Jackson, etc. are against it.  We aren't.  Please try not to assume you know where we are coming from before you finish reading our post and read what we're saying. 

    The evidence is there that coal and fossil fuels need to go, quickly.  (over 2 decades quickly)  We need to go after every single avenue at reducing our emissions.  The easiest way, in my opinion, is to raise the price of emissions, pass efficiency standards, and fund research into alternatives.  The market will take care of the rest because as the price of emissions increases 'all' alternatives become cheaper by comparison.  So nuclear, solar, wind, biomass, conservation, tidal, geothermal, carbon capture into solid form from power plants, sun blocking, etc. etc.  Any and all avenues should be explored and studied but we shouldn't ram through one solution because we 'think' its best.  If things other then nuclear prove cheaper and better overall I can live with that, if 50 nuclear plants are built over the next 20 years including LiFTR I can live with that to.  So please stop acting like we only wish to poo poo on nuclear.

    Posted by Brooks Nelson on 06/30/2009 @ 08:19AM PT

  41. Reply to thread
  42.  

    I didn't mean "debunking" in the way you meant it. I didn't mean to suggest that climate science is junk science which it's not. I meant that climate science is a young science and there are many problems that climate models and climate scientists ignore and don't address.

    Here is anpther explanation of global warming by reputable scientist Dr. Nicola Scafetta that was given at the EPA.

    http://yosemite.epa.gov/ee/epa/wkshp.nsf/vwpsw/84E74F1E59E2D3FE852574F100669688#video

    I suggest you download the high resolution video and the slides pdf since they're clearer.

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/27/2009 @ 10:25AM PT

  43. Craig Nazor

    What Dr. Nicola Scafetta is delivering in this video is his opinion and doubts, not any new peer-reviewed scientific research. Einstein himself was unable to accept the Heisenberg principle ("Gentlemen, God does not play dice"), which essentially put an end to his incredible scientific career. One needs to be able to distinguish between the OPINION of any particular scientist (after all, they are all human beings with all the typical human failings) and peer-reviewed scientific RESEARCH.

    Peer-reviewed science is VERY CLEAR - global warming is happening, it is happening now, and it is largely human-caused. There is no major scientific controversy about this.

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/27/2009 @ 06:34PM PT

  44. Craig you are mistaken about what Dr Scafetta is presenting and about Dr Einstein too. Dr . Einstein very well accepted the Heisenberg uncertainty principle and it most certainly did not end his career.  What Dr. Scafetta is presenting is most certainly NOT opinion but real science as I'm sure you would see if you examine his research and check his credentials.

    if you think there is no scientific controversy about global warming then I don't think you understand neither global warming nor how science works and neither how the IPCC works.

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/27/2009 @ 07:44PM PT

  45. Emily Gertz

    There's tons of active research and scientific discussion into how human-propelled global warming is affecting different systems on Earth -- ecosystems, climate systems, weather systsems, etch.  But there's no significant disagreement in the scientific community over the reality of anthropogenic climate change.

    Seriously, whatever you're reading or hearing that suggests otherwise is at best honestly mistaken, and at worst trying to put something over on you.

    On another note, Einstein's famous quote in response to the HUP was: "God does not play dice with the universe." 

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/28/2009 @ 09:06AM PT

  46. My disagreement with the IPCC i sthat they ignore or neglect certain key issues.

    Regarding Einstein, I think you are mistaken. That quote was about quantum theory as a whole not about the HUP. This is from an interesting article in the American Institute of Physics website:

    http://www.aip.org/history/einstein/quantum1.htm

    "By the mid 1930s, Einstein had accepted quantum mechanics as a consistent theory for the statistics of the behavior of atoms. He recognized that it was "the most successful physical theory of our time." ... Yet Einstein could not accept quantum mechanics as a completed theory, for its mathematics did not describe individual events. Einstein felt that a more basic theory, one that could completely describe how each individual atom behaved, might yet be found. ..."

    The full article starts at:

    http://www.aip.org/history/einstein

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/28/2009 @ 01:27PM PT

  47. Reply to thread
  48. Craig Nazor

    I have examined Dr. Scafetta's credentials. Credentials are not peer-reviewed science. I have also examined what I could find on the web of his peer-reviewed research, and none of it denies that global warming is happening or proves that humans are not the most significant cause of it. Such claims, if they exist in his research, apparently did not make it past peer-review.

    Claiming that solar activity is the MAJOR cause of the recent global temperature increases would, at this point, have to be called opinion, at least according to peer-reviewed research. I'm not sure what you mean by "real science." Do you know what I mean when I say "peer-reviewed research?"

    As for your comments about Dr. Einstein, I think that you will find my point valid. I refer you to an excellent article about the history:

    http://www.eequalsmcsquared.auckland.ac.nz/sites/emc2/tl/philosophy/dice.cfm

    When does the preponderance of opinion become fact? For some, this will never happen. Therefore, there will always be controversy. Evolution is still VERY "controversial." The Big Bang theory is still "controversial." Some of the people involved in these controversies are scientists. Is that what you mean by "scientific controversy?"

    Unfortunately, the kind of public controversy we now see concerning global climate change (GCC) has largely been funded by the big energy companies to the tune of over a hundred million dollars to date. They have done this by paying scientists large sums of money to write papers (peer-review not required) or articles or give speeches critical of GCC. So we now have the best "scientific controversy" over GCC that money can buy. For all I know, Mr. "K," you, too, could be in the employ or have some financial interest in these same big energy companies, or somehow be invested in the dirty energy economy.

    Why else might you be saying what you are saying on a blog that clearly states, "denials of the reality of global warming, will be deleted as troll posts?"

    What do you have at stake if a strong cap-and-trade bill is passed?  

    I say it again: PEER-REVIEWED science is VERY CLEAR - global warming is happening, it is happening now, and it is largely human-caused. There is no "scientific controversy" on the level of peer-reviewed science when it comes to GCC.

    Since I find your judgement about what I do or don't know about science lacking any kind of hard evidence, I will have to consider it opinion. I will not subject you to the same disservice on my part.

     

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/27/2009 @ 09:25PM PT

  49.  

    Craig I'm not "in the employ or have some financial interest in these same big energy companies, or somehow be invested in the dirty energy economy".

    You seem to write from a perspective of the cultural perception and understanding of science like using terms such as "dirty energy economy".

    Regarding where you wrote "denials of the reality of global warming, will be deleted as troll posts" where did I deny global warming? I doubt there is anyone in these replies that has the background or  scientific understanding to even begin to debate the actual issues of global warming.

    Regarding nuclear power, one thing you'll notice of those that propose solar and wind power as a solution to our energy needs is that they don't provide the numbers to back up those claims.

    Here are two charts that show the subsidies of various energy technologies and the estimated cost of those technologies in 2016:

    http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2008/07/megawatthour.jpg

    http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/levelizedelec.png

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/27/2009 @ 10:46PM PT

  50. Emily Gertz

     

    Well, a lot of the faux controversy over global warming's reality has been fomented via "astroturf" groups -- groups putting forth the face of environmental concern while advancing an environmentally destructive agenda -- bombarding the public with mis-information.  More of that than fossil energy-based scientific research, although the odds are there's been some of that, too.

     

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/28/2009 @ 08:38AM PT

  51. Reply to thread
  52. Craig Nazor

    For the sake of this conversation, I have no choice but to accept you at your word that you do not stand to profit from the failure of a cap-and-trade policy on CO2.

    The term "dirty energy economy" means the economy based on energy that burns fossil fuels (petroleum products, coal, and their derivatives). Stand behind a diesel engine or downwind from a coal-fired power plant and you will understand why it is called "dirty."

    What exactly does "a perspective of the cultural perception and understanding of science" mean?

    In your first post, you said, "Debunking global warming science (if you can call it science) is a legitimate scientific endeavor." That's denying global warming science by questioning whether it is actually science. Meanwhile, your "scientific" sources appear to be politically biased (see below).

    You never know who is reading a publicly posted blog.

    What numbers do you need to back up which claims about solar and wind power? If you believe that global climate change (GCC) is real, is happening, and is human caused, do you really need numbers to show that solar and wind power (and a number of other emerging technologies) produce less CO2 than burning fossil fuels?

    You consistently quote from biased sources. Check out SourceWatch:

    http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Institute_for_Energy_Research

    Here's what they say about the Institute for Energy Research:

    "The Institute for Energy Research (IER), founded in 1989 from a predecessor non-profit organisation, advocates positions on environmental issues which happen to suit the energy industry: climate change denial, claims that conventional energy sources are virtually limitless, and the deregulation of utilities."

    Are you SURE you don't have an axe to grind?

     

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/28/2009 @ 01:20AM PT

  53. I don't know much about the IER. i just saw those charts in a blog.

    Nuclear power is virtually limitless. I don't advocate burning fossil fuels. They emit many pollutants harmful to health including radiation.

    Solar and wind is heavily subsidized. They are much more expensive than nuclear and they can't provide enough energy for everyone. If we go with solar and wind energy instead of nuclear then that means that most of the world's people will be condemed to live a life of poverty.

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/28/2009 @ 02:55PM PT

  54. This is from a question asked of Steve Kirsch in the article on huffington Post about the ACES bill:

     

    "Between the cement and the mining of uranium - nuclear is hardly CO2 free."

    Steve Kirsch - Huffpost Blogger: As the article points out, no additional mining of uranium is needed.

    And there are ways to make cement now that do not emit CO2. Also, that is a very small one time amount, even if you make cement the conventional way.

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/28/2009 @ 04:59PM PT

  55. Reply to thread
  56. Emily you should interview one of the scientists knwoledgable on LiFTR nuclear reactors and see if they're  different and if they do provide clean green energy.

    I suggest you interview Kirk Sorensen. you can find him at the following blog:

    http://thoriumenergy.blogspot.com

    There really is a difference in these generation IV nuclear reactors.

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/28/2009 @ 01:06PM PT

  57. Emily Gertz

    This is a pretty interesting nuclear reactor technology, I agree. But it's only been prototyped so far, so very hard to tell if it could be brought up to scale safely.  

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/28/2009 @ 01:51PM PT

  58. One of thepoints is you could design it to almost any scale you want. It doesn't have to be a huge 1 GW reactor, It could be 100 MW or 200 MW reactors. And by the way they are smaller than conventional nuclear reactors and can de design so they are air cooled and don't need water. Even solar power plants need water and water is hard to come by in the desert where some solar plants are proposed to be built.

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/28/2009 @ 02:04PM PT

  59. Craig Nazor

    Direct solar needs water, but the system is closed, and the designs I have read about don't need to be water cooled. More than a minimal amount of cooling would reduce the amount of electricity generated, particularly at night.

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/28/2009 @ 09:55PM PT

  60. Reply to thread
  61. Here is a debunking of Amory Lovin's positions and papers (I would call them propaganda for the fossil fuel industry rather than research papers). The article was written by nuclear physicist Alexander DeVolpi.

    http://knol.google.com/k/alexander-devolpi/nuclear-expertise-the-amory-lovins/1gsyt5k142kc5/22

    Craig you ask about my motives. They are to bring clean reliable long lasting energy to the world's people that won't condemn them to a life of poverty which is what solar and wind energy will do.

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/28/2009 @ 03:02PM PT

  62. Craig Nazor

    Wow - it seems like you already have your mind made up on solar and wind. Did you ever hear of direct solar? Are you aware of recent improvements in solar cells and batteries? Have you looked into energy generated by wave action and tides? And how about the one thing we haven't mentioned yet, energy conservation? Or do you agree with Dick Cheney that energy conservation is not legitimate energy policy?

    The City of Austin just approved the building of the largest solar power plant in the United States because it makes economic sense. What do they know that you don't? Do you think this is going to condemn the people of Austin "to a life of poverty"? I disagree.

    So you want to "bring clean reliable long lasting energy to the world's people" - sounds like you are in the energy business to me!

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/28/2009 @ 10:15PM PT

  63. Regarding solar and wind, every competent review I've seen comes to the same conclusion, i.e. that solar and wind is much more expensive than nuclear energy. Nuclear also happens to be the most energy dense source available.

    Compared to nuclear energy there is nothing that comes close to providing the amount of energy for the lowest cost. It will even cost less than coal energy soon.

    As I said above, solar energy means that people will be condemned to live in poverty.

    By energy conservation I assume you mean Amory Lovin's "negawatt" idea? If so that is erroneos and here is a 5 part article that debunks that:

    http://neinuclearnotes.blogspot.com/2008/07/amory-lovins-and-his-nuclear-illusion.html

    As for your last point I'm not in the energy business. I meant that I want to support and vote for energy solutions that provide energy to all the world including the poor of the world.

    The city of Austin is probably getting huge subsidies to pay for the expensive solar plant. Do you have any numbers or info regarding the project?

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/28/2009 @ 11:23PM PT

  64. Craig Nazor

    The City of Austin opted out of an expansion of a nuclear power plant because it was too expensive.

    Solar IS NOT more expensive than nuclear, from what I have seen, if ALL costs are factored in. I'm not saying that it never will be, but so far, the true cost of these technologies to the environment are very rarely considered.

    So Austin is condemned to live in poverty! My, my! If you are that good at predicting the future, might I suggest the lottery?

    Assume makes an ass of u and me. I am talking about the simple concept of getting more for less through efficiency. This concept did not start with Amory Lovins. I am concerned about the concept, not the personality. Care to tell me how efficiency is a bad idea?

    So far, the City of Austin has gotten NO SUBSIDIES for building the solar power plant. It makes sense all on its own. It is a project where the City contracts solar power at a set price for a twenty-year period, and a private company builds, maintains, and decommissions the plant. The electrical rates are a little higher than what the City is now paying mostly for coal power, which is projected to rise well beyond the price of this solar power. This is in addition to the fact that surrounding coal-powered plants are already negatively impacting Austin's air quality, which causes large costs to the City in other ways.

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/29/2009 @ 12:49AM PT

  65. Do you have any numbers, i/e/ costs, etc.info regarding the project?

    Efficiency doesn't work cause of what's called Jevons paradox. Here is a blog post that explains it:

    http://neinuclearnotes.blogspot.com/2008/06/amory-lovins-and-his-nuclear-illusion_11.html

    Here is the wikipedia entry about Jevons paradox:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox

     

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/29/2009 @ 01:04AM PT

  66. Craig Nazor

    The Jevons paradox is an economic prediction. If you look at a climax ecosystem (say, a rain forest), you will find many niches with lots of special adaptations, making the whole system incredibly efficient. Economics does not take into account environmental and biological constraints. If we keep ignoring these constraints, nothing can save us. Our future energy decisions must be based on the natural sciences, and not on economics. Our job is to make the economics work GIVEN THE REAL RESTRAINTS, and not shoving the problem into the near future. Unrestrained human economics is what got us in this predicament in the first place!

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/29/2009 @ 01:23AM PT

  67. Brooks Nelson

    Jevons paradox assumes a static environment, ie no other outside influences.  But cap and trade or a carbon tax will raise the costs of coal outside of the new efficiencies reducing their use outside of this paradox.  With cap and trade, by definition, there will be less carbon put into the atmosphere year on year.

    Posted by Brooks Nelson on 06/29/2009 @ 07:35AM PT

  68. So cap and trade changes the factors but I've read that ACES bill is a gift to special interests.

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/29/2009 @ 01:00PM PT

  69. Craig Nazor

    That's at least partly because you didn't call your congressman and ask them not to amend #ACES so much that it became more and more a gift to special interests.

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/30/2009 @ 12:08AM PT

  70. Reply to thread
  71. An article on the Huffington Post relavant to the ACES bill

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/steve-kirsch/climate-bill-ignores-our_b_221796.html

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/28/2009 @ 03:11PM PT

  72. Craig Nazor

    The articles you post as references I invariably find to be heavily biased. That's really not helping your argument. Steve Kirsch is a cheerleader for the technology. He is not a scientist. He is an entrepreneur, and a terminally ill one, at that. Anyone trying to get me to support something by telling me it's too complicated to understand, and at the same time is NOT going to be around to see the results is going to have a real uphill battle, to say the least.

    He also makes NO MENTION of the heat pollution involved with this technology, although he does mention that it produces a tremendous amount of heat, which he wants to use to power cars with boron (no mention of a mule team). And then he talks about reconverting old coal-fired plants into nuclear plants, of course assuming (there's that word again!) that there is enough cooling water at these sites and that the environmental impact will, of course, be acceptable.

    Well, I got some ocean-front land on a tiny little South Pacific island that I'll sell you cheap, while it's still above water.

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/29/2009 @ 01:06AM PT

  73. You are repeating the same myths and misinformation about nuclear energy that prevalant in popular culture and part of the people who are responsible for these deceptive myths are Amory Lovins, the Rocky Mountain Institute, the Council of Foreign Relations, and the fossil fuel industry.

    If you have any actual science3 to back up your claims please post it. Everything I've read says you are wrong on what you say about nuclear energy. The only thing you didn't mention yet is transuranic elements.

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/29/2009 @ 01:32AM PT

  74. Brooks Nelson

    Not to commit the fauz paus of using wikipedia but here it is and they do have sources quoted at the bottom.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economics_of_new_nuclear_power_plants

    There are very high costs for building new nuclear plants, delays http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/06_28/b3992063.htm, shortages of components, shortages of expertise, etc. 

    The price of Uranium is at $54 http://www.uxc.com/review/uxc_g_price.html and getting higher (it was at $20 in 2005), with old soviet missile Uranium accounting for 45% of current Uranium supplies and set to run out in 2015, plus the new plants that are coming online creating new demand and the lag time of 10 years to ramp up Uranium mining, and the fact speculators have bought several reserve stocks of Uranium.  We are very likely to see higher prices in the future. http://money.cnn.com/2007/04/19/markets/uranium/index.htm

    Security and disposal, due to the unique nature of nuclear energy will always bring more costs then other energy sources. 

    Insurance for nuclear plants are heavily subsidized by the Price-Anderson Act which offers a large protection by the federal government. 

    Decommissioning of nuclear power plants are far more expensive then other power plant facilities.

    Nuclear waste disposal will be an ongoing expense due to the longevity and dangerousness of the substances, unlike other energy sources. 

    Again I think nuclear is coming and it should, but it is very costly to do it and until lenders and utility executives see it as profitable, and with future decreased use of coal they might, we shouldn't expect a revolution.  (Unless you get a IV generation commercial reactor to purr like a kitten for a good price.)  :)

     

     

    Posted by Brooks Nelson on 06/29/2009 @ 08:47AM PT

  75. Brooks so I guess India, China, France, findland, Japan, Russia, and other countries are so stupid and morons for pursuing and building the very nuclear plants and technology I mentioned right? Obviously they must be stupid but anti-nuclear groups in the US are oh so smart and the rest of the world is stupid. That's the only argument left because everything else has been successfully refuted.

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/29/2009 @ 01:08PM PT

  76. Craig Nazor

    Mr. "K.",

    To focus on just one issue: the effects of dumping heated water into the environment is not a myth, and it is not misinformation. I have seen the results with my own eyes. I do not need anyone to point this out for me or to tell me what my eyes have seen (not you or your lists of talking heads, that's for sure). Here you go:

    http://www.nirs.org/reactorwatch/licensedtokill/executivesummary.htm

    http://planetsave.com/blog/2009/06/05/nuclear-power-plants-water-rights-threaten-endangered-species/

    http://www.riverkeeper.org/campaign.php/hudson_fisheries/the_facts/178-hudson-river-power-plant-fish-

    And if you want more "unbiased" data, here it is:

    http://books.google.com/books?id=11LI7XyEIsAC&pg=PA358&lpg=PA358&dq=Heated+water+released+from+nuclear+power+plant&source=bl&ots=eZQ7WHEOum&sig=IAJjKNyzupTEhkCreW38v8vfJv0&hl=en&ei=l6ZJSueCPMaEtwfB3JGUBg&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=8

    The release of large amounts of heated water into waterways by nuclear power plants is a significant problem to the environment, no doubt about it.

    There are limits to how many people can live on the earth. There are limits to how much garbage we can dump into the environment without destroying the ecosystems upon which life depends. There are limits to how much power we can generate without permanently damaging our environment. There are limits to growth. Mankind is approaching these limits. I believe we should proceed with caution. I am what was at one time called "conservative."

    When I was a kid, we were told that the oceans would supply us with limitless food and were the key to conquering hunger in the world. (At current rates, the UN now predicts that ALL ocean fishing stocks will be depleted by 2050.) We were told that "the solution to pollution is dilution." We were told that nuclear energy would make electricity "too cheap to meter." We were told that the biggest problem in the 21st century would be what to do with all our leisure time. We were told that the insecticide DDT was perfectly safe. We were told a lot of stuff by all kinds of people, and here we are.

    Just because any particular country does something, even a fine country like "findland," certainly doesn't make it the right thing to do. India was a 49% owner of the Union Carbide plant at Bhopal, China built the Three Gorges dam, Japan promotes whaling, and Russia blessed us with Chernobyl. And the French, bless their little hearts, still have a problem with nuclear waste: http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/reaction/readings/french.htm 

    Do you really want to be in the business of deciding which country is smart and which is stupid?

    The only person currently posting on this blog who believes that all the arguments against nuclear energy have been refuted appears to be you. Does that make us all stupid?

     

     

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/30/2009 @ 12:02AM PT

  77. Reply to thread
  78. Here is another prominent scientist now supporting nuclear energy:

    "James Lovelock: Nuclear power is the only green solution

    "We have no time to experiment with visionary energy sources; civilisation is in imminent danger"

    http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/james-lovelock-nuclear-power-is-the-only-green-solution-564446.html

    Although I don't agree with everything he says it's worth reading.

     

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/28/2009 @ 11:38PM PT

  79. Craig Nazor

    James Lovelock has a degree in medicine. He has been a supporter of nuclear energy since at least 1988. This is not peer-review, and adds little to the discussion.

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/29/2009 @ 01:12AM PT

  80. It's an opinion by a prominent scientist who was against nuclear power but changed his mind. I didn't say the article is a peer reviewed scientific article.

    Posted by Konstantin K on 06/29/2009 @ 01:28AM PT

  81. Emily Gertz

    Lovelock, for those who don't know, is one of the authors of the influential "Gaia theory," which posits that the Earth's surface systems function as a single living organism.  

    (I think the value of the Gaia theory is that it fundamentally shift one's mechanistic perspectives of natural phenomena toward more holistic understanding of how they interconnect, and affect each other. But Lovelock was pretty literal about it, if I recall correctly.) 

    In any case, Lovelock has strongly influenced ideas in the environmental movement. So his coming out in favor of nuclear was a pretty big deal in enviro-advocate circles.

    Posted by Emily Gertz on 06/29/2009 @ 07:39AM PT

  82. Reply to thread
  83. Craig Nazor

    I have been aware of (and appreciated) Lovelock's Gaia theory for years (one of my best friends named one of his daughters Gaia after the theory). My problem with Lovelock's opinions on nuclear energy is that his recent reactions seem to be more out of fear than out of assembled knowledge. He spends no time talking about the specific problems with nuclear energy, just telling us that we have no other choice.

    Here in America, we waste energy like there was no tomorrow. I see it every day. Our energy NEEDS are a small fraction of our energy USE. I know this because I have personally reduced my energy use without the slightest negative effect on my standard of living - as a matter of fact, I have more money now than I have ever had, and in the middle of a recession. This is at least partly because I save quite a bit on conservation of all kinds. I am more lucky than well over 95% of the people on the face of the earth as far as lifestyle goes, and I am definitely not rich by any American standard.

    I mean my next statement as no disrespect to anyone involved in this discussion - this is just a general observation based on many debates of this type.

    A person's general viewpoint of global climate change and which direction to go with our energy future, judging from my interactions and discussions with people from both sides of the fence, seems to be based more on the personal perception of ones own life than on any kind of scientific knowledge. And that specific perception is probably best stated as - is ones glass half full or half empty? If ones glass is half full, then heading off down a new and different path is generally not seen as nearly as threatening than it seems to those with the half-empty tumbler.

    This is just my very unscientific, non-peer-reviewed opinion.

    Posted by Craig Nazor on 06/30/2009 @ 01:31AM PT

  84. Solar Electric Light Fund

    There was an interesting Krugman post yesterday: 

    http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/06/29/climate-trade-obama/

     

    Posted by Solar Electric Light Fund on 06/30/2009 @ 08:11AM PT

Add a Comment

For your comment to be published, you will need to confirm your email address after submitting your comment.

If you already have an account, click here to log in.

Comments on Change.org are meant for further exploration and evaluation of the ideas covered in the posts. To that end, we welcome constructive comments. However, we reserve the right to delete comments that are offensive, abusive, or off-topic; that contain ad hominem attacks; or that are designed to subvert or hijack comment threads rather than contribute to them. Repeat offenders may be permanently removed from the site at our discretion.

Author

Twitter Feed

Emily Gertz

Emily is a journalist and editor covering the environment and science, and has been working in online news, community and content since 1994.

close

This user's Profile page is not public. They have restricted it to only their friends.

Already a Member?

Create an Account

You must create a Change.org account to complete this action.
If you already have an account click here.